Ascot Racing Tips: Victoria Cup Day
Mirsaale was slowly away and found the going tough on the testing ground in the Chester Cup. Success Days also missed a beat at the start and though he ran well, he couldn’t get loose on the front as he likes to. Baraweez ran a cracker and with a clear run he may have won, but he had to settle for a place. Aquarium won for us, advised at 12/1 and returning at 13/2 under a fine ride by Franny Norton. The focus switches to Ascot tomorrow and Dave Stevos fancies a couple at nice prices. Check out his Ascot Saturday racing tips below…
Ascot Saturday Racing Tips: 3.25 Premier Fillies’ Handicap (Class 2)
The fare at Ascot isn’t great on Saturday and the rain has had an impact on field sizes. Each way opportunities are limited, but at least 9 fillies go to post in this 8f handicap. It is a field chock full of quality and Red Starlight is the favourite at 3/1. By Pivotal, it is no surprise she handles easy ground and she has some serious form in the book, including in Listed Company. However, she is 9lb above her last winning mark (all weather) and 13lb above her last turf winning mark. For that reason, she is worth taking on.
One filly who could potentially be overpriced is Model Guest for the Margarson team. This daughter of Showcasing also has quality form in the book, but at a higher level than the favourite. She was 3rd behind Main Edition in a 7f Group 3 at Newmarket on her only start on ground with an ease. She also ran really well to be 4th, beaten just over 5L, in a Group 2 over the same course and distance on quick ground.
Her sire has produced plenty of horses that relish soft ground, including the likes of Toocoolforschool and Quiet Reflection. On the form of her two Newmarket runs Model Guest looks potentially well handicapped off just 93 and she has course form in the book. If she takes to the ground she could be a danger to all. David Egan is 1/1 when riding for this yard and at odds of 28/1 Model Guest has e/w claims.
ASCOT RACING TIPS: MODEL GUEST E/W @ 28/1
Ascot Saturday Racing Tips: 2.25 – Victoria Cup Heritage Handicap (Class 2)
This 7f Heritage Handicap has attracted a bumper field of 26 and as ever looks an ultra competitive affair. The last 6 winners of this have started from stall 13 or higher. On Friday’s evidence, a high draw will likely be favoured again. One at a big price who could go well from what looks like a good draw in stall 17 is Zap. Trained by Richard Fahey, this son of Mayson showed plenty of smart form in 2018 on quick ground.
While he has yet to race on soft, his two runs on good to soft were more than respectable and he has course form in the book. A winner of a valuable handicap at Leopardstown last term off 95, he is just a pound higher here. However, Conor Murtagh’s valuable 5lb claim means he is effectively 4lb lower than for that win.
He fared best of the low drawn horses in the International Handicap off 97 here last season (7f gd.fm). Zap may have only finished 8th, but he was only 2L behind the winner. Being by Mayson, soft ground should suit him and he is quietly fancied by his trainer. He can be backed each way for 6 places at 33/1 and at those odds he is worth an interest each way.