2019 Ballyogan Stakes Tip And Preview by Dave Stevos
It was a tough day for us on Saturday at Epsom, particularly in the Derby. Norway was prominent early and paid the price for chasing the pace late on. Telecaster ran no sort of race and perhaps his stellar effort in the Dante left a mark. Bangkok was also extremely disappointing, pulling hard early and fading badly late on. The winner Anthony Van Dyck simply outstayed Madhmoon, though Japan was flying home and he will be interesting up in trip next time. There is Group 3 action at the Curragh on Friday and Dave Stevos has had his head in the formbook. Check out his free 2019 Ballyogan Stakes tip and preview below…
Ballyogan Stakes: 7.10 Curragh (Group 3)
We get a rare treat in Ireland this Friday with the 6f Group 3 Ballyogan Stakes. A total of eight fillies will go to post and it looks pretty open. English raider Dan’s Dream heads the market and she drops back in trip after a close 2nd here over 7f last time.
With a rating of 107 the daughter of Cityscape is well clear on the figures. She also has solid course form in the book. It will be her first start over this short a distance since her first run (and win) as a 3yo at Bath though. The drop in trip isn’t certain to suit her and at 5/2 the percentage call is to take her on.
Soffia hosed up in a Listed contest at Naas last time and is clearly a filly on the improve. That was her third start of the season though. She had a big race fitness advantage on my fancy for this, Rapid Reaction, who was 5L behind her in fifth. Julia’s Magic, who was 3rd that day, was only 2L in front of Rapid Reaction and on easier ground the Grogan filly could turn the tables on her.
Half Sister To Katla
John Grogan’s daughter of Shamardal is a half sister to Katla, a multiple Listed winner. She won on all sorts of ground so the yielding conditions at the Curragh shouldn’t be a worry. Rapid Reaction ran a cracking race at Naas last time, slowest away and getting a bump 2f out before keeping on very nicely for 5th.
That was her first run of the season so she likely needed it and I think she ran to a much higher rating than 84. Her last win at Navan was an excellent performance and she was punted too, backed from 25/1 into 12/1. Okay, that win came off just 75 but Andy Slattery only had to push her out and it was a striking performance.
Young Slattery is riding with lots of confidence at the moment and he keeps the ride. John Grogan will likely have had this race in mind for some time and it looks a decent opportunity to try and nick some black type. I think this filly should be closer to 16/1 than her current price of 66/1. At those odds, she has to be worth a small interest each way.
2019 BALLYOGAN STAKES TIP: RAPID REACTION E/W @ 66/1