After an exciting night of Premier League darts in Manchester, the focus now switches to the Austrian Open. The draw was made late last night and there are some interesting match ups. James Greenfield has put together an in depth preview and he has posted some value bets. Check out his Austrian Darts Open tips below…
Austrian Darts Open Tips: De Zwaan One To Watch
Having two Player’s Championship events sandwiched between two Euro Tour events was unusual but it means we have a few players going to Graz in very hot form.
Top of that list ishttps://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jeffrey_de_Zwaan Jeffery de Zwann. We had a big bet on him for last week’s German Darts Open only to see him go out rather tamely against Ian White (who to be fair did reach the final). He bounced back from that to reach the quarter final of PC13 and then to win PC14 on Wednesday.
That makes it nine wins from ten matches and it wasn’t just that he was winning matches; it was that he was scoring so heavily. His season average in Players Championship is now 96.23, the 10th best. His average over Tuesday and Wednesday was 100.20. In his last twelve matches he hit nine ton plus averages. That is MVG like. He is an extremely talented young player.
De Zwann plays local qualifier Benjamin Fasching in the first round which is a good draw but he then faces Rob Cross in the second round. He has never beaten Cross in their previous three matches so that is a pivotal match for him. If he can get past Cross things open up a little bit but there are few easy matches in this tournament.
Austrian Darts Open Tips: Aspinall Firing On All Cylinders
Nathan Aspinall took Van Gerwen to a deciding leg in last weekend’s German Darts Open quarter final. He backed that up by reaching the final of PC13 on Tuesday. Like De Zwann his scoring has been consistently heavy and in his last thirteen matches he has averaged 99 or more nine times. He has won eight of his last ten matches and is in top form. Aspinall has been drawn to play Kim Huybrechts in the first round and he could have hoped for an easier opponent but he should be too good for the Belgian. He would then face in-form Dave Chisnall in the 2nd round so it’s a tough draw.
Another unseeded player who is winning a lot of matches is Stephen Bunting who has won eight of his last ten. He was runner up to De Zwann in PC14 on Wednesday where he capitulated rather too easily and lost 2-8. That seems to be his weakness these days; his form goes off when he reaches the later stages in tournaments. He will not be a player any of the seeds will want to draw but can he win the title? More than likely not.
MVG The Obvious One
Of the seeded players MVG is the obvious winner. His has won half of the Euro Tour events he has ever entered (31 from 62) and has won three from four this season. The other players will be hoping he takes a break from the Euro Tour in the same way as he has in the Players Championship and he probably will at some point. He has won eight of his last ten matches and is the very obvious favourite to add another title this weekend.
He has won this title twice in the last five renewals but he didn’t play in last year’s event which saw an all Welsh final between Jonny Clayton and Gerwyn Price in Which Clayton ended up as the winner. The only blip on his radar was yet another defeat to Daryl Gurney in last night’s Premier League match. That is three in a row for Superchin and that will be getting right up Van Gerwens nose.
No Home Comfort For Suljovic
This is the only home event for Mensur Suljovic who is a two time semi-finalist. His form isn’t great, he has won six of his last ten, but his scoring hasn’t been great. Sometimes being the big home favourite brings more pressure than help.
Michael Smith is a two time runner up but his recent form hasn’t been great. He has won just four of his last ten matches and he got humped 8-1 in the Premier League last night. His body language was very reminiscent of the bad old days when he used to boil over and beat himself.
Dave Chisnall had another good time on the floor in midweek scoring wise. He hit averages of 103, 106, 101 and 103 in PC14 but got no further than the last 16 as he was beaten by De Zwann 4-6. Chizzy made the semi-final in Germany last weekend losing to MVG in a deciding leg. He missed match darts and the chance to finally win a big tournament again. Does he, like Bunting, really believe he can go all the way? He has won six of his last ten which isn’t really tournament winning form. But, there is no denying that he has played very this season.
Austrian Darts Open Tips : Hopp Needs To Kick Losing Habit
Max Hopp was scoring heavily in the midweek hitting two ton plus averages but failed to get beyond the last 32 stage in either event. He is scoring well at times but is losing too many matches to win titles.
Gerwyn Price is the number two seed this weekend and he has been playing well recently but hasn’t reached a final since winning PC 5 and 6 in February. He is still having good runs in tournaments and he has reached the quarter final in all three Euro Tour events he has played in this year. He lost all three of those matches 5-6 so it is not hard to see him have another good run this weekend.
His opening match will be a tough one as he faces the winner of John Henderson vs. Ross Smith, two players who are both playing well this season. If he gets through that then it looks likely to be Ricky Evans next and Evans has a 5-6 H2H record with the Welshman. A quarter final with home favourite Suljovic or Wade looks very possible.
Austrian Darts Open Tips: No Easy Route To Final
There are no obvious ‘easy’ draws this weekend. Obviously thigs can open up if we see some of the seeds knocked out in the second round but there are not many badly out of form players in the mix and outside of the local qualifiers, no easy matches. Players like Clayton, Hughes, Dobey and Koltsov have only won four of their last ten matches but they all remain dangerous opponents.
Picking a couple of outsiders to do well and maybe reach the final looks particularly hard this weekend but De Zwann remains in the must back category. In the form he is in he can beat anyone and he is a player heading for the big time. We might be able to catch him at a big price before the bookies get totally wise to him.
Nathan Aspinall’s form make him a must pick at generous odds. Yes he has a hard draw but he is proving himself against the top players and is full of confidence.
MVG On the Drift
Of the shorter priced players MVG can now be backed at odds against after his Premier League defeat last night. With his 50% win rate in Euro Tour events that is a touch of value. However, he is in the same half of the draw as Daryl Gurney so he may not even make the final.
What of Superchin himself? He has won eight of his last ten matches which is great form and he will be feeling pretty good about things after a good run PC13, a day off and then his third win in a row against Van Gerwen, joining a very exclusive and small list of players to have done that. Gurney has reached the quarter finals twice in this event and is the only other player to have won a title on the Euro Tour this year. He is in line to face Aspinall but such is life.
James Wade remains in good form with seven wins from ten. He beat Gerwyn Price 8-4 last night in a fairly poor match but many of the players were struggling with a draught on the stage. Rob Cross was the only player to average over 100 last night. Wade has a decent draw, maybe facing home favourite Mensur Suljovic in the third round but on recent form he wins that.
Austrian Darts Open Tips:
Jeffery de Zwann to win 1 point e/w @ 67.0 with Marathon Bet, Boylesports, Betvictor, Betfred
Nathan Aspinall to win 1 point e/w @ 67.00 with William Hill, Boylesports
Daryl Gurney to win 1 point e/w @ 26.00 with Blacktype, Betvictor, Marathon bet, BET365
James Wade to win 1 point e/w @19.00 with Paddy Power, Betfair, BET365