German Grand Prix Tips And Preview by James Punt

July 25, 2019

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German Grand Prix Tips And Preview by James Punt

Our Formula 1 expert James Punt recommended a maximum bet on Lewis Hamilton in his last preview. The Englishman didn’t let us down, powering to victory in his home Grand Prix. The Formula 1 roadshow rolls into Hockenheim in Germany this week. Will Mercedes continue their domination? Or will there be a surprise result? James Punt has produced another in-depth preview, check his 2019 German Grand Prix Tips below…

German Grand Prix Tips And Preview

The German Grand Prix has lost much of its lustre over recent years. The huge crowds that used to come to worship Michael Schumacher have shrunk. There is a doubt as to whether we will have a German GP in future years, despite a German team dominating the sport and two German drivers on the grid.

The track lost its character when the huge straight which took the cars out through the forest and back was done away with. We now have a fairly short lap which features a good mix of corners. There is one long straight (a long curve really) and hairpin to aid overtaking and a fiddley stadium section to end the lap.

This has been a sporadic venue for the German race so there is not has much past form to go on but Hamilton has won here on four occasions, Vettel never better than 3rd. Hamilton is the only past winner in the field.

Others with notable track form is Bottas, twice a runner up, Perez with four top 10’s, Hulkenberg with three and Kubica who finished 7th on two occasions.

Weather Could Be Key

The weather has played its part in the past and last year we saw a rain shower which forced some cars to pit for wet weather tyres only for the rain to stop very shortly afterwards. Those that stayed out made up places but then Vettel stuck it in the wall when leading.

A safety car was deployed and that sent various cars into the pit for tyres, including Bottas who arrived at his box to find no tyres were ready. Hamilton stayed out and having started 14th on the grid, he won the race from teammate Bottas in 2nd. To be fair to Bottas, he was all over Hamilton but was told to back off by the team.

The weather forecast for the weekend is for very hot conditions on Friday and Saturday. There is a small chance of some showers on Saturday. Race Day will see the temperature drop back to the mid-twenties, with more cloud and a bigger chance of rain showers or thunderstorms. We may actually see some proper wet weather racing but it is not certain.

Home Comfort For Mercedes?

This is Mercedes home race and they will have lots of guests here to mark their 125th anniversary. They will be very keen to win their home race again and they are reported to be bringing a new chassis which has been developed to combat the cooling issues which caused them big problems in Austria.

This has not been confirmed by Mercedes, who will be running their cars in an all-white livery as part of their anniversary celebrations, and if they are still worried about cooling then we might see them having to be conservative in Friday’s free practice. It will be in the low 30’s even at 10am and they may want to preserve power unit life by tuning them down a little. It is ‘only’ a Friday unit but they still won’t want to unduly stress it.

German Grand Prix Tips: Ferrari Searching For Answers

Ferrari has been having yet another management reshuffle as they continue to chase their tail. The one big decision they have yet to make is to get shot of Vettel. He was appalling in Britain, completely out paced by Leclerc and then he makes another blunder in close racing and crashes into Verstappen. He is no longer an asset, just a liability.

Charles Leclerc is supposed to play the number two role but the reality is that he is Ferraris best driver by some margin. He is just three points behind Vettel in the championship and is closing fast. This is very probably Vettel’s last chance to win his home Grand Prix. That will put even more pressure on him at a venue where he has struggled in the past.

Verstappen’s Turn Is Near

Red Bull has been making strides towards the top two team’s performance level, even in qualifying.  Ferrari started the season gunning for Mercedes but now they are busy trying to fend off the Red Bulls. Honda has made gains and as usual Red Bull is very strong at developing their car throughout the season. Some changes to the front of the car have helped with the balance of the car and Verstappen must enter the equation for another race win maybe here or more likely in Hungary next weekend.

Verstappen was just two tenths off the pole position time at Silverstone. That is a power sensitive track and not one that would flatter a Red Bull but they were right up there. Verstappen even thought that but for a bit of turbo lag, he could have been on pole.

Even Gasly looked good in Britain so there is real progress at Red Bull. The turbo lag problem has been worked on. If they can dial that out then Verstappen will be one to pay attention to from now onwards. A little rain might well play into Verstappen’s hands and he is worth a small each way interest for Sunday’s race.

German Grand Prix Tips: 1 point e/w Max Verstappen to win @ 11.00 with Betvictor, Hills, Marathon Bet

McLaren have established themselves as best of the rest despite struggling in low speed corners. There are a few slow ones here so they might find this weekend more challenging than Silverstone for example. They have had a car in the top 6 for the last three races and should be there or thereabouts again. However, Renault is more optimistic about their chances this weekend.

Ricciardo has been much the better qualifier at Renault 8-2 up on Hulkenberg who saves his best for the race. Renault had a 5th place finish here with Hulkenberg last year. However, it looks more likely that Ricciardo will lead their charge this year. His is reaching Q3 regularly and on a track which should suit them they will be aiming for a 4th row start and may better. Hulkenberg has a good track record and he should be back in the points for the 4th year in a row.

German Grand Prix Tips: 1 point Ricciardo to finish in the top 6 @ 3.75 with William Hill, Ladbrokes, Coral

German Grand Prix Tips: 3 points Hulkenberg to finish in the points @ 1.73 with William Hill

Alfa Romeo’s revival continues in the capable hands of Kimi Raikkonen. Since their upgrade he has enjoyed three consecutive point’s finishes and is up to 8th in the Driver’s Championship. Qualifying is still a bit of a struggle and his current odds of 1.50 for a top 10 finish may well be bigger come Sunday.

Toro Rosso returned to form at Silverstone with Kvyat finishing 9th. Albon had been superb all weekend but his race strategy just didn’t pan out and his tyres gave out in the dying laps. It is a bit too early to say if they can compete again this weekend. They struggled in France and Austria and with hot conditions returning there has to be a question mark as to their prospects.

Racing Point is having a poor season. However, they will be bringing aero updates to try and get more out of their upgrade in Spain which didn’t quite work. Qualifying has been a particular weakness. So again, it may be best to wait until Sunday to have a look at Perez’ odds.

Haas Still Scratching Their Heads

Haas are still trying to figure out why their car is so shit. Having two clowns driving it doesn’t help! At least they are adding some comic relief into the sport by crashing into each other…again. Grosjean will once again revert to the Australian GP spec while Magnussen will have more upgrades. The end result is expected to be more confusion and cooked tyres.

Haas may need to get a shift on in discovering a cure for their dire performances. Williams have made a bit of progress with some updates that have moved them closer to the back of the midfield. They are still the slowest but getting closer to the back of the pack ahead.

With the weather set to play a part in this weekends action this looks like a race where the wisest course of action is to play after qualifying when the weather forecast will be firmer.

Qualifying and the race day update will be available on the TXODDS app.

-JamesPunt

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