Haydock Saturday Preview And Tips by Dave Stevos
Rapid Reaction broke well earlier in the Ballyogan Stakes, but that was as good as it got. Andy Slattery took a pull as he didn’t want to lead. After that, she was always on the back foot. She is definitely capable of sneaking some black type. However, it may not be until she gets better ground and drops back to 5f. Tomorrow there is a trio of pattern races at Haydock and all three will be shown live on ITV. If you are having a flutter, check out Dave Stevos’ Haydock Saturday tips below…
Preview Saturday Haydock: 2.25 Pinnacle Stakes (Group 3)
The heavens opened at Haydock and the ground is forecast to be heavy there on Saturday. The conditions will suit some horses better than others. In the Pinnacle Stakes, Dance Legend looks a lively outsider for Rae Guest and David Probert. This is a nicely bred filly, by Irish Derby winning sire Camelot. She got a confidence boosting win on her seasonal return at Lingfield (13f sft). That win came off a mark of 85, so she clearly has heaps to find with the favourite here True Self (rated 112).
Dance Legend ran in three Listed races last season so clearly Rae Guest believes she is a black type filly. Guest is no mug and though she was well beaten in those races last season, he hasn’t hesitated to step her straight back up in class after her Lingfield romp. That form has worked out too, with the runner up winning twice since and the 3rd winning next time out also.
David Probert is 2/3 when riding Dance Legend and her action suggests that she will handle heavy ground. She drops back a furlong in trip, but 12f on heavy ground should be a sufficient stamina test for her. The long Haydock straight will likely suit her too. With big doubts about the ground for some of her rivals, at odds of 25/1 Dance Legend is the each way pick.
HAYDOCK SATURDAY TIP: DANCE LEGEND E/W @ 25/1 NB
Haydock Saturday Tips: 3.00 – Achilles Stakes (Listed)
This Listed 5f sprint is limited to horses of either sex that have not won a Group 1 or 2 since August. The likely favourite, Danzeno, has placed form on heavy but by far his best performances have come on good or better. Stake Aclaim will be short in the betting too and he will relish the conditions. He is preferred of the two market leaders but another one that will be right at home in the mud is Dave Dexter. Ralph Beckett’s horses are flying and this fella ran a grand race from a poor draw on his return at Chester (5f gd/sft).
He was dropped out in rear from his wide draw and though he finished 7th he wasn’t all that far behind the placed horses. That run should put him spot on fitness wise and he is already a Listed winner on heavy ground. He beat Vintage Brut on heavy ground at Ayr over 5f and finished 2nd to that horse over 6f at York subsequently.
Dave Dexter is 2/2 over 5f on soft/heavy ground and it looks like that could be the key to him. His sire, Stimulation, has an overall 33% strike rate with his progeny on heavy, producing 6 winners from 18 horses. Plenty of his rivals have questions to answer on the ground, so at odds of 25/1 Dave Dexter surely has to be worth an interest each way.
RACING TIP HAYDOCK: DAVE DEXTER E/W @ 25/1
Racing Tips: 3.35 – John Of Gaunt Stakes (Group 3)
The final Group 3 race of the day is the John Of Gaunt, a 7f contest for 4yos or older. Safe Voyage is the market leader and he certainly ticks a lot of boxes. He has course form in the book, he likes cut in the ground and he is 2/2 this season. With a rating of 109 he is far from the highest rated. However, he is clearly progressive and he holds strong claims.
However, one that looks a cracking each way bet at a much bigger price is Suedois. Rated 112, this son of Le Havre won’t mind the ground. He has won on very soft in France and has some serious Group form on soft in the UK. David O’Meara’s charge doesn’t have to carry a penalty, which is a bonus. He should also be at peak fitness after two runs this season.
Although he was only 4th over course and distance last time over 7f, he was 3rd on his only other start here in a Group 1 behind Quiet Reflection over 6f on soft. For a lot of his rivals, testing ground is an unknown. His ability to handle it is a huge positive. Odds of 16/1 look too big and Suedois is our each way NAP of the day.