It was a tough day for our selections at Newmarket and none of them managed to figure. Oberyn Martell was a shade slow from the gates and could never get to the front like he needs to. Dalmaj got upset going into the stalls and paid the price in the closing stages. Gifted Master was very disappointing and was one of the first leading lights beat. Dave Stevos is hoping to bounce back with a 40/1 Irish Grand National tip, check out what he fancies, and why, below…
Irish Grand National Tip: 5.00 Fairyhouse – Handicap Chase (Grade A)
Local trainer Eddie Cawley came agonisingly close to landing this race with Forever Gold last year. That was on heavy ground and this son of Oscar prefers a sounder surface. He was hampered late on in 2018 and was beaten less than a length in 3rd, so it is fair to say he was a pretty unlucky loser. He has been way below form since then, but that wouldn’t worry me in the slightest.
It is pretty obvious that this race has been the long term target for Forever Gold. His last three runs have been over timber and that means the 12yo arrives at Fairyhouse with a chase mark of 137. That is just 2lb higher than he was for last year’s excellent effort. He actually ran better than the distance beaten suggests at Cork in a handicap hurdle on his last outing (24f soft) and that should have put him spot on for the big one.
Forever Gold has a fine record at Fairyhouse. His last two visits saw him finish 3rd in the 2018 National and 2nd to Presenting Percy. In fact, his last 6 runs at the track have yielded form figures of 328122. He produced one of his best displays when beating Thunder And Roses over the National course and distance on good to yielding ground. He is likely to encounter very similar conditions on Easter Monday.
No jockey bookings have been declared yet for Forever Gold, but most likely Adam Short will ride and claim 3lb. He was on board for his near miss last season so he will be eager to make amends. No doubt Gordon Elliott and Gigginstown will fire multiple bullets at this race, but Forever Gold went mightily close to causing an upset last year. At odds of 40/1, with 6 places available, he looks a cracking each way bet.
IRISH GRAND NATIONAL TIP: FOREVER GOLD E/W @ 40/1 (6 PLACES)