Newmarket July Festival Preview For Live ITV3 Races
The less said about the Coral Eclipse meeting, the better. None of our tips hit the frame and our only selection that didn’t lose was withdrawn behind the stalls. Telecaster never got to the front and even though he was hampered, he had no chance at the time. Rum Runner ran alright but didn’t get the strong pace to aim at that we hoped for. Modern Millie disappointed too and sent Dave Stevos back to the drawing board. He is hoping to bounce back this week, check out his Newmarket July-Meeting Day 1 free tips below…
Newmarket Tips: 1.50 Bahrain Trophy (Group 3)
A Group 3 for 3yos only kicks off proceedings at the 2019 July Meeting at Newmarket. The ground is good to firm and this 13f heat looks pretty open. The bookies reckon it is between two of them, Barbados for Ballydoyle and Eagles By Day for Clipper Logistics. The latter is edging favouritism right now at 2/1, with Barbados chalked up at 3/1.
Of those two, Eagles By Day probably has the best form and he shaped as though another furlong would really suit at Ascot. However, at the prices, Nate The Great looks worth chancing each way. He flopped on soft ground at Ascot, but the return to good to firm should suit. His last two runs on similar ground yielded a win and a fine 3rd to Irish Derby 3rd Norway.
His form behind Anthony Van Dyck on soft at Lingfield looks alright now too. 14f on taxing ground proved too far at Ascot last time when he was miles behind Barbados and Nayef Road. However, 13f back on quick ground could bring out the very best in the son of Nathaniel. At odds of 14/1, Nate The Great is the each way pick for Archie Watson and Hollie Doyle.
NEWMARKET JULY-MEETING DAY 1 TIPS: NATE THE GREAT E/W @ 14/1
Newmarket July-Meeting Day 1 Tips: 2.25 – July Stakes (Group 2)
With Royal Ascot form aplenty, the 6f July Stakes looks a very competitive race. Visinari is one of the horses that didn’t go to the Royal Meeting and he is a short priced favourite. Mark Johnston has secured the services of Frankie and the son of Dark Angel hacked up on debut over C&D and could be anything. However, he looks underpriced due to the Frankie Factor at 11/10.
Another son of Dark Angel looks interesting at much bigger odds. Tim Easterby is a trainer I have a lot of respect for. He doesn’t go too hard on his young horses and they are usually green as grass on debut. However, they normally come on leaps and bounds for their first outing and Hurstwood is a prime example of his approach. He was slow away on debut but once the penny dropped he flew home for 3rd at Ripon (5f gd).
Heavy ground hardly helped on his next start, but he still ran a grand race to be 2nd. His third start saw him break his duck on soft at York over 5f, but his best run was last time. It was his first start on good to firm over 6f and he beat a 97 horse fair and square by 2L. His rating of 82 could underestimate him and perhaps the bookies have too. Tim Easterby certainly rates him and the Gimcrack could be next after this. Odds of 33/1 are too tempting about this progressive colt and at that price, he is worth backing each way.
NEWMARKET DAY 1 TIPS: HURSTWOOD E/W @ 33/1
Newmarket July-Meeting Day 1 Tips: 3.00 – Bet365 Handicap (Class 2)
A maximum field of 20 sprinters will go to post in this 6f handicap. Extra place specials will be available so make sure to shop around. The one I like each way at very nice odds is Kinks for Mick Channon and Andrea Atzeni. This son of Sixties Icon is as hardy as they come. The 3yo has already had 17 career starts, but he hasn’t won on his last 15 races. His two wins came on his 2nd and 3rd starts as a 2yo but in his defence, he has been very highly tried.
His next 6 runs came at a much higher level (Group and Listed company) and by the time of his handicap debut he was rated 93. On good to soft ground at Chester he ran really well off that mark, just 2L off the winner in 4th. He has stayed in handicap company this season and his best run came on the Rowley course here in May off 87.
He finished 3rd, just half a length behind the winner Dazzling Dan and he flew home. Kinks flopped next time at Pontefract but it was much more like it last time at Windsor. His mark of 89 was left alone after that run and Andrea Atzeni takes over in the plate. He has a decent record when riding for Channon and at odds of 16/1, Kinks is the e/w NAP of the day. If he gets a strong pace to aim at, he won’t be far away.
NEWMARKET JULY-MEETING DAY 1: KINKS E/W @ 16/1 NAP 5 PLACES
Newmarket Day 1 Tips: 3.35 – Prince Of Wales’s Stakes (Group 2)
Only six horses will go to post for this Group 2 and whoever finishes last will get £1350! However, the winner takes home a cool £56k and Masar is the bookies favourite. The 2018 Derby Winner has had issues with injuries and though he ran well on his return at Ascot, it didn’t definitively show that all his old ability remains. A slow start didn’t help, but he was 5L behind Defoe and he needs to improve markedly on that to justify his short odds.
He could well return to form, but at the odds he is a risky proposition. The 5yo Mirage Dancer is from a yard that has an excellent record with horses that have his profile. He was well ahead of Masar at Ascot and he arguably should be favourite on that form. However, they both may have to give best to the rapid improver Baghdad.
This 4yo son of Frankel flopped as a Juvenile and started out in handicaps off 74. After winning 4 of his last 5, he is now rated 109. He scored off 104 at Royal Ascot last time and there could be more to come. His trainer holds him in high regard and he deserves his place here. Atzeni is 1/1 on him, he loves quick ground and at odds of 13/2 he could put it up to the market leaders.