Newmarket Tips For Live ITV3 Races
Hopefully our selections for Day 1 at the July Meeting at Newmarket ran well. Dave Stevos has already had a close look at the Day 2 card and fancies a few at tasty prices. You can check out his Newmarket July-Meeting Day 2 tips and preview below.
Newmarket Tips: 1.50 Bet365 Handicap (Class 2)
There may only be 15 horses going to post for the opening 10f handicap, but it still looks a very tricky puzzle to solve. It is 7/1 the field and as you might imagine, a case can be made for lots of them. At the current prices, one that represents a bit of each way value is Majestic Dawn for Paul Cole and Josephine Gordon. He ran a cracker over 12f at the Royal meeting and the drop back in trip will suit.
He was backed at big prices that day and 2f out he looked the most likely winner. The combination of easy ground and 12f did for him though and he didn’t get home. The son of Dawn Approach has won over 11f, so he does get today’s trip of 10f. His last try on good ground at the distance wasn’t bad considering he fell out of the stalls.
This will be his first start on proper quick ground and if he is like his sire Dawn Approach, he should love it. His pedigree also suggests that 10f could be his optimum trip, especially if he gets a strong pace to aim at. The handicapper dropped him to 89 after Ascot and at odds of 16/1, Majestic Dawn is capable of running well off that rating.
NEWMARKET JULY-MEETING DAY 2 TIPS: MAJESTIC DAWN E/W @ 16/1 5 PLACES NAP
Newmarket July-Meeting Day 2 Tips: 2.25 – Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes (Group 2)
The first pattern race on Day 2 of the July Meeting is the 6f Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes. This Group 2 is for Juvenile fillies only and though the field is small, it is a fascinating race. Daahyeh, a daughter of up and coming sire Bated Breath, is the clear form pick. She won here on the Rowley course on debut, beating Raffle Prize comfortably.
It was a similar story at Ascot in the Albany when she had Celtic Beauty 1.5L behind in 2nd. That Ascot win came on good to soft and this will be her first try on properly quick ground. However, Bated Breath’s progeny generally relish fast conditions so that isn’t really a worry. Roger Varian’s filly is definitely the one to beat and David Egan knows her inside out. 13/8 looks a more than fair price and she is the most likely winner.
Of the remainder, one that could go well at a massive price is Bredenbury. She got to within 2L of subsequent 6L Listed winner Summer Romance on debut. The horse a head behind her won next time out too. Bredenbury hacked up on her next start at Brighton, putting a previous winner in her place by 3.5L. She is by the promising young sire Night Of Thunder and is a half sister to a Listed winner. David Simcock’s filly is an intriguing contender and could outrun her odds of 16/1.
NEWMARKET DAY 2 TIPS: DAAHYEH WIN @ 13/8; BREDENBURY E/W @ 16/1
Newmarket July-Meeting Day 2 Tips: 3.00 – Bet365 Trophy (Class 2)
A field of 18 will go to post for this Heritage Handicap and stamina will be the order of the day over the 14f trip. The Gosden/Frankie combination will be looking to gain compensation with Ben Vrackie after his near miss at Ascot. If Baghdad runs well on Thursday this fella could go off an awful lot shorter than his current odds of 3/1.
Backing horses in handicaps like this at short odds is not my cup of tea. Instead, I am going to take a chance on Eddystone Rock at a massive price. He has been ultra consistent this season, producing form figures of 123135 on his last six runs. John Best’s charge ran a cracker in a hot handicap at Haydock last weekend and he is in off the same mark here.
His last start at beyond 12f resulted in a win at Chester (13f gd). He was slowly away last time and finished strongly for 5th over 12f. Kieren Fox gets on really well with him and he should get a strong pace to aim at. 25/1 is too tempting to turn down and if he gets luck in running, Eddystone Rock could go close. Extra places should be available each way on race day.
NEWMARKET JULY-MEETING DAY 2: EDDYSTONE ROCK E/W @ 25/1 NB
Newmarket Day 2 Tips: 3.35 – Falmouth Stakes (Group 2)
The feature race on Friday at Newmarket is the 8f Group 1 Falmouth Stakes. A disappointing field of just 6 go to post, and the final finisher will pocket £2700. The winner will take home £113k and the bookies reckon five of the six runners hold realistic chances.
The current market leader is One Master at around 11/4. She is the highest rated and she ran really well in the Queen Anne at Ascot. However, she has never won over a mile and the suspicion remains that the trip stretches her. The two to be interested in here are I Can Fly and Beshaayir.
These two clashed on quick ground at the Curragh and the Haggas horse emerged victorious. However, I Can Fly was slow away and was staying on, so with a better break she could get a lot closer. I Can Fly flopped at Ascot, but she can bounce back. Quicker ground here will suit and she can fight out the finish with Beshaayir again, just like at the Curragh. A reverse forecast is advised.