Newmarket Preview For Live ITV Races
Nate The Great got us off to a nice start on Day 1, but it was downhill from there. Hurstwood ran a decent race but he just didn’t have enough left in the tank in the closing stages. Baghdad bombed out and wasn’t suited by how the race unfolded. Kinks lost ground at the start and could never land a blow. Check our Day 2 tips by clicking here. Dave Stevos has already had a look at Saturday’s live ITV races. Check out his Newmarket July-Meeting day 3 free tips below…
Newmarket Day 3 Tips: 2.20 Bet365 Mile Handicap (Class 2)
The first live ITV race on Saturday from the Newmarket July meeting is an 8f handicap for 3yos only. A disappointing field of just 6 will go to post and Honest Albert is the warm favourite. Frankie and Gosden team up with this son of Sepoy and he has looked a classy sort on both starts so far. He beat a horse that won off 74 by 12L (conceding 5lb) so his opening mark of 90 looks about right. However, odds of 7/4 do not really appeal, especially when others in the field have achieved a lot more.
Victory Command won against older horses off 91 last time. That was a very impressive performance and a 6lb rise may not stop him now he is back among horses his own age. He looks a typical hardy improver from the Mark Johnston yard and with Ryan Moore booked, he holds solid claims. Bayroot chased Honest Albert home last time and is 5lb worse off at the weights for a 1.5L defeat. On these terms it is tough to see how he can turn that form around.
Akwaan has won his last two and sneaks in off a low weight here. This is a big step up in class though and a 7lb penalty for his last win could halt his progress. Motakhayyel is unexposed at a mile on quick ground but he got 3lb for a defeat on his handicap debut last time over 7f. He has it to prove off 92. Victory Command is the one that appeals most though and at 8/1 he is the each way pick.
NEWMARKET JULY-MEETING DAY 3 TIPS: VICTORY COMMAND E/W @ 8/1
Newmarket July-Meeting Day 3 Tips: 2.55 – Superlative Stakes (Group 2)
The Superlative Stakes is a 7f Group 2 contest for 2yos. I am really sweet on the rag here, Ropey Guest. At first glance, his form figures do not suggest he is capable of winning a Group 2. However, when you delve a little deeper a big case can be made for him here. He was clueless on debut when beaten 10L at Nottingham (6f gd/fm) but he has been on an upward curve ever since.
Ropey Guest ran a much better race when 66/1 upped to 7f at Yarmouth on his second start. He was less than a length behind Al Namir, and he was only beaten a neck by King’s Command on his next start. King’s Command is a 7/4 shot here, while Ropey Guest is priced up at 25/1! However, the form of his next start at Royal Ascot looks even stronger.
The son of Cable Bay was sent off at 200/1 but defied those odds to run a massive race in the Coventry. He finished a closing 6th, just 2.5L behind Arizona and over a length ahead of Royal Lytham. That horse won the July Stakes on Thursday (originally Ropey Guest’s target), so how Ropey Guest is such a big price here is beyond me. At 25/1 he could run huge for George Margarson and Shane Kelly and he is the each way NAP of the day.
NEWMARKET DAY 3 TIPS: ROPEY GUEST E/W @ 25/1 NAP
Newmarket Tips: 3.30 – Bunbury Cup (Class 2)
20 go to post for the Bunbury Cup and this 7f contest looks an exceedingly tricky puzzle to solve. The ultra-consistent Kynren is the current favourite and he does deserve to get his head in front. He has won over course and distance but that came on soft ground. He handles good to firm but the suspicion remains that a bit of cut brings out the best in him.
One that could go well at a huge price here is Zap. He won the consolation race here last season off a mark of 94 on good to firm. Richard Fahey’s charge returns for the main event off 3lb lower and this is surely his seasonal target. He has failed to fire for the most part so far this year. However, it was a similar story last year and he still managed to win.
He won a massive race at Leopardstown too last season off 95, so he is undeniably well handicapped off 91. Kevin Stott has been booked for the ride and while it is his first spin on Zap, his three wins have come under three different pilots so he doesn’t seem to mind who he has on his back. At 33/1 Zap is each way pick with 5 places available.
NEWMARKET JULY-MEETING DAY 3: ZAP E/W @ 33/1 5 PLACES
Newmarket Day 3 Tips: 4.40 – July Cup Stakes (Group 2)
The blue riband race at the July Meeting is the Darley July Stakes. This 6f Group 1 sprint has attracted a field of 12 and with Blue Point retired, the division has opened up. Advertise will again have the assistance of Frankie and he is the favourite. After a slow start Martyn Meade’s string have really hit form and this horse won the July Stakes here in 2018.
3yos have won three of the last four renewals and at the prices, Fairyland has to be considered. With a rating of 112 she isn’t far off the best of these and she carries just 8st 11lbs. She has solid form in the book and 6f is probably her optimum trip. She didn’t get home in the Guineas over a mile and 5f looked too sharp last time at Ascot.
Her form figures over 6f on ground with good in the description read 11311. Ryan Moore has opted for Ten Sovereigns, but it is foolish to read too deeply into jockey bookings with Aidan O’Brien horses. Just ask Padraig Beggy! At odds of 14/1, Fairyland looks capable of running a massive race for each way players.