Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips and Preview by Dave Stevos
Liberty Beach nearly got us off to a flier on Day 2. She finished 1st of 8 on her side but the draw bias saw the first three home come up the near side. At least we got our e/w money, advised at 28/1. It was downhill after that though. Waldgeist ran well but was given far too much to do. Wheels On Fire ran a gallant race up the middle on his own but faded in the last 50 yards. The frustrating hunt for a winner continues on Thursday. Check out Dave Stevos Royal Ascot Day 3 tips below…
Royal Ascot Tips: 2.30 Norfolk Stakes (Group 2)
First up on Day 3 is the 5f Norfolk Stakes and what the ground is going to be like remains one of life’s great mysteries. At the moment it is soft, but the weathermen say there isn’t much rain forecast. That could see the ground change mid card, but for the opener at least there should be an ease. Real Appeal has form on ground ranging from very soft to good, so he should at least handle whatever ground it is for the opener.
This son of Sidestep is 3 from 4 in France for Matthieu Palussiere and was initially owned by the Marnane’s. He was sold for big bucks (£265k) at Goffs a couple of days ago and will run in the colours of his new owner, Zhang Yuesheng. I thought this colt showed a really willing attitude in all three of his wins.
Some might worry that he only won by a head on all three occasions, but he looked like there was plenty left in the tank. He scored in a Listed Race last time and it was really impressive how he knuckled down once the runner up came upsides. Odds of 20/1 look too big and at that price Real Appeal is the each way selection.
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 3 TIPS: REAL APPEAL E/W @ 20/1 4 PLACES NAP
Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips: 3.05 – Hampton Park Stakes (Group 3)
After the withdrawal of Headman, fourteen 3yo colts remain in the running for the 10f Group 3 Hampton Stakes. For a race limited to horses that haven’t yet won a Group 1 or 2, it looks a very strong contest. The betting is open and it is Fox Chairman who is the current favourite at around 4/1. He ran well behind Tuesday winner Circus Maximus at Chester (10f gd/sft) and a repeat of that would definitely give him a chance here.
King Ottokar’s 10f win at Newbury was boosted big time on Wednesday with Dashing Willoughby scoring in the Queen’s Vase. The bandwagon has already left the station though and 11/2 isn’t big enough to tempt. One that appeals each way at a nice price is Buckhurst for Joseph and Donnacha O’Brien. This lightly raced colt is a son of Australia and his sole run on soft resulted in victory on debut at Leopardstown.
The horse he beat into 2nd that day, Jack Yeats, will go for a Group 2 here on Friday. Buckhurst found things happening a bit quickly stepped into Group 3 class next time at Leopardstown but wasn’t disgraced behind Broome. It was a lot better on his next start at the Curragh, again in a Group 3, when he gave the very promising Constantinople plenty to think about. This trip looks right for now and he should handle ground ranging from soft to good to firm. At 16/1 Buckhurst is the each way pick.
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 3 TIPS: BUCKHURST E/W @ 16/1 4 PLACES
Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips: 3.40 – Ribblesdale Stakes (Group 2)
The fillies take centre stage in the Ribblesdale, a 12f group 2 contest. Our Oaks tip Fleeting isn’t 40/1 today. She is the obvious choice for Ryan Moore but if there is cut in the ground it would have to be a worry. All her best form has come on good or better, so the more it dries out the happier her connections will be. Fresnel is a filly I really rate but her jockey is inexperienced at this level. Soft ground is an unknown for her too.
If the ground dries out to good, Love So Deep could outrun her odds. She has very little to find with Shambolic on their Goodwood meeting. With a clear run or over further, she definitely would have beaten her. Shambolic is around 16/1 and Love So Deep is 100/1, so surely the Chapple Hyam filly is overpriced. She has a pedigree to die for, by Deep Impact and out of a sister to Ruler Of The World and Duke Of Marmalade. She will need good ground or better though.
However, the one to be on here could be Star Catcher for Dettori and Gosden. The little Italian is riding out of his skin this week and will mount a real challenge for top jockey. This daughter of Sea The Stars won easily on her only start on soft (10f) and was narrowly beaten on good ground in a Listed heat last time. On pedigree the step up in trip should suit, as should the return to a softer surface. At 8/1 she is the each way selection. If the ground dries out, a small each way interest on Love So Deep is advised at 100/1.
ASCOT RACING TIP: STAR CATCHER E/W @ 8/1; LOVE SO DEEP E/W @ 100/1
Ascot Racing Tip: 4.20 – Ascot Gold Cup (Group 1)
It is near impossible to look past superstar stayer Stradivarius here. The son of Sea The Stars is unbeaten since May 2018 and comes here in search of a seven timer. He held on for a narrow win in this last year on good to firm. He was a staying on 2nd to Order Of St George here on soft over 16f in 2017, so his stamina is not in question. Whether he is quite as good on soft is up for debate and that is the only worry for his supporters.
He is sure to be popular with favourite backers at 5/4, but at 18/1 Capri could put it up to him. Aidan O’Brien’s charge has winning form against the Gosden inmate, over 14f in the St Leger on good to soft. Capri has only shown flashes since picking up an injury last season, but the suspicion remains that this marathon trip could suit.
Donnacha O’Brien still awaits his first Royal Ascot winner and it wouldn’t be the biggest surprise if he got it on Capri. He had a sighter on him at Leopardstown last time over 14f and that outing should have put him spot on for this. At odds of 18/1, Capri is the each way selection.
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 3 TIPS: CAPRI E/W @ 18/1
Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips: 5.00 Britannia Stakes Handicap (Class 2)
The Britannia Stakes is the penultimate race on Day 3 and 30 will go to post. In the Royal Hunt Cup the first four home were drawn 18 or higher, so it makes sense to concentrate on those drawn on that side. One that looks massively overpriced from what looks a decent draw in stall 26 is Pogo. Charles Hills was amongst the winners on Wednesday and this fella holds serious each way claims.
He won an 8f good ground handicap at Newmarket two starts back in very impressive style. That win came off a mark of 94 and the son of Zebedee is now rated 100. However, the form of his Newmarket win has worked out very well. The 3rd and 4th both won next time out, while the 5th (9L behind) lost by a short head on his next outing.
Pogo won on good to soft ground as a 2yo. His jockey reported that he really appreciated the ease in the ground after that run. He ran respectably in a Group 2 in Germany last time out, not far behind decent performers like Great Scot, Marie’s Diamond and Wargrave. It would be a real villain to hero story for Kieran Shoemark if he could win. At odds of 28/1 Pogo is capable of running a big race for each way players.
ROYAL ASCOT DAY 3 TIPS: POGO E/W @ 28/1 6 PLACES
Royal Ascot Day 3 Tips: 5.35 – King George V Handicap (Listed)
A very tricky 12f handicap closes the show on Day 3 of the Royal Meeting at Ascot. 19 3yos will go to post and IF the weather forecast is correct, the ground could have good in the description. The drier it is, the better it will be for the likely favourite, Constantinople. This very talented son of Galileo won a Group 3 easily last time at the Curragh (10fgd/fm). He shaped as though further would suit and if it is good or better, he looks a worthy favourite.
However, it is impossible to ignore the fact that O’Brien has yet to win this race. His best 3yos are campaigned at a much higher level and Constantinople is worth taking on. Babbo’s Boy looks a fascinating contender for Michael Bell and Jason Watson. He didn’t show much as a 2yo, but he has progressed nicely this year.
The son of Mastercraftsman has won his last two and was really impressive on his handicap debut at Leicester. He won with a bit up his sleeve off 85 and gave the impression there was more to come. Easier ground should pose no problems given his pedigree and he stays 12f well. His two runs in big fields as a 2yo should stand to him and at odds of 20/1 he is the each way pick.