With so much World Cup fever in the air, you may be thinking of putting a bet on one of the matches. If you are one of those people who only has the occasional flutter on major sporting tournaments, here are a few tips on the sort of background information it would be useful to know before you start your World Cup betting.
Team News: Look out for information on missing players – whether that is due to injury or suspensions. You also need to consider who is missing as, if it is one of the more important players – e.g. captain, top goal scorer, goalkeeper, playmaker, key defender – their absence will have a bigger effect.
Team Fatigue: Has the team played any matches in the last week or has it rotated the squad? This can be more relevant during hot weather at World Cups, as well as if they have played more daytime or evening matches.
Referee News: Because of the scale of the World Cup, it is likely that some referees will be less experienced. It is possible that some referees may simply be inept, others may caution players more than normal and it could even be that some teams will be favoured (as the hosts normally are). So, knowing the referee’s history of cards and bookings would be useful, as well as the nationality of a referee.
Value Odds: Sometimes the odds are higher than you think they should be, due to the market moving. This can apply to all types of bets not just 1×2, totals, both teams to score, Asian handicap, corners etc.
Special Bets: These are offered to attract betting but can turn out to be good value, such as main goal scorer gets booked and scores a goal, team to have certain amount of corners, time of first goal etc.
Matches with nothing to play for: This usually happens in the last stage of the group games where a team that has already qualified will rest of players and perhaps not play at 100%.
Matches where a result suits both: This has happened in the past where both teams need a point to qualify, e.g. Denmark 2-2 Sweden in 2004.
Historical Data: If a team has a greater record against its opponent, this can have a psychological effect on the players. Sometimes it is just the home head-to-head record or away record.
Off the field problems: Financial problems have arisen more in the last 4-5 years, where players or coaching staff are not getting paid. Other problems could be scandals involving embezzlement, the manager having problems with players, fans, etc. which has resulted in players leaving.
Ground issues: This can be due to altitude problems, like playing in Bolivia where many teams struggle, or just the general state of the pitch. Artificial grass is being used more and can lead to an advantage for one team, as can the size of the pitch (either in length or width).
Recent form: This feels like a pretty obvious point, but there is strong evidence to suggest that people still bet on teams based on their name and reputation. You should have a look at your team’s previous 5-6 matches within that competition and if they are home or away too.
Weather: If you like to bet on the goals markets, such as under or over 2.5 goals, then considering the weather is really important. This is especially the case during the winter when vast amounts of rain and snow can really affect the quality of the football on the pitch. It’s no secret that when it rains/snows, a lot teams find it harder to play and to find the back of the net.
We hope this gives you a good basis World Cup betting over the next 4 weeks. Good luck!
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